{"id":22130,"date":"2026-02-11T14:03:59","date_gmt":"2026-02-11T13:03:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/?p=22130"},"modified":"2026-02-11T14:03:59","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T13:03:59","slug":"nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-pcr-najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/en\/blog\/nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-pcr-najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku\/","title":{"rendered":"A crisis in the PCR market is looming. Latest report reveals how much recyclate will be in short supply by 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><div data-parent=\"true\" class=\"vc_row row-container\" id=\"row-unique-0\"><div class=\"row limit-width row-parent\"><div class=\"wpb_row row-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_column pos-top pos-center align_left column_parent col-lg-6 single-internal-gutter\"><div class=\"uncol style-light\"  ><div class=\"uncoltable\"><div class=\"uncell no-block-padding\" ><div class=\"uncont\" ><div class=\"uncode-single-media  text-left\"><div class=\"single-wrapper\" style=\"max-width: 100%;\"><div class=\"tmb tmb-light  tmb-media-first tmb-media-last tmb-content-overlay tmb-no-bg\"><div class=\"t-inside\"><div class=\"t-entry-visual\"><div class=\"t-entry-visual-tc\"><div class=\"uncode-single-media-wrapper\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-22131\" src=\"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku.jpg\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1080\" alt=\"Nadchodzi kryzys na rynku PCR. Najnowszy raport ujawnia, ile recyklatu zabraknie do 2030 roku\" srcset=\"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-300x203.jpg 300w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-1024x691.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-768x518.jpg 768w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-1536x1037.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-350x236.jpg 350w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-uai-1032x697.jpg 1032w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-uai-1440x972.jpg 1440w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-uai-258x174.jpg 258w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-uai-720x486.jpg 720w, https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-uai-516x348.jpg 516w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wpb_column pos-top pos-center align_left column_parent col-lg-6 single-internal-gutter\"><div class=\"uncol style-light\"  ><div class=\"uncoltable\"><div class=\"uncell no-block-padding\" ><div class=\"uncont\" ><div class=\"vc_custom_heading_wrap\"><div class=\"heading-text el-text\" ><h1 class=\"h1\" ><span>A crisis in the PCR market is looming. Latest report reveals how much recyclate will be in short supply by 2030<\/span><\/h1><\/div><div class=\"clear\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><script id=\"script-row-unique-0\" data-row=\"script-row-unique-0\" type=\"text\/javascript\" class=\"vc_controls\">UNCODE.initRow(document.getElementById(\"row-unique-0\"));<\/script><\/div><\/div><\/div><div data-parent=\"true\" class=\"vc_row row-container\" id=\"row-unique-1\"><div class=\"row limit-width row-parent\"><div class=\"wpb_row row-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_column pos-top pos-center align_left column_parent col-lg-12 single-internal-gutter\"><div class=\"uncol style-light\"  ><div class=\"uncoltable\"><div class=\"uncell no-block-padding\" ><div class=\"uncont\" ><div class=\"uncode_text_column\" ><p>The shortage of post-consumer plastic recyclate is no longer a forecast, but is becoming a real threat to the European packaging market. The latest Interzero report shows that by 2030, the gap between demand and supply of PCR will exceed 1 million tonnes - even if EU recycling targets are fully met. The effects of this shortfall are already being felt by producers today: recyclate prices are rising, delivery times are lengthening and access to high-quality PCR is becoming increasingly limited.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"uncode_text_column\" ><\/p>\n<h2><strong>It's a foregone conclusion - the PCR deficit will exceed 1m tonnes by 2030<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In the coming months and years <strong>a serious supply crisis is to be expected<\/strong> in the post-consumer plastic recyclate (PCR) market. Already <strong>The packaging industry is facing difficulties<\/strong> in access to quality PCR and with rising prices for recyclate, especially for food contact. And it will only get worse - in the most optimistic scenario, the PCR supply gap is expected to reach 1 million tonnes by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>This is the future of the recycling and packaging industries, according to the latest Interzero report <em>CIRCULAR PACKAGING 2030: Strategies for action in an era of shortage of recyclate<\/em>. It presents the findings of a study on PCR availability to 2030 conducted by BP Consultants on behalf of Interzero. In it, the authors refer to the results of other industry studies and cite statements by representatives of the waste sector, which make it clear that the current supply of recyclate is limited and insufficient. As the experts state, <strong>obtaining high-quality PCR is now twice as expensive and twice as time-consuming<\/strong> than in the quite recent past.<\/p>\n<p>Deepening raw materials crisis <strong>markets will be hardest hit<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>polypropylene<\/strong>, especially for food contact, which is widely used in the cosmetics and food industries,<\/li>\n<li><strong>LDPE and composites<\/strong>, for which we do not have sufficient capacity,<\/li>\n<li><strong>all polymers intended to come into contact with sensitive products<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The report also provides other worrying conclusions - the situation in the PCR market is not going to improve in the near future; it may even get worse. In any future PCR demand scenario, a sizeable gap between supply and demand emerges, which will not be bridged even by the full implementation of the EU plastics recycling targets or the widespread use of methods <a href=\"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/en\/blog\/co-to-jest-recykling-chemiczny\/\">chemical recycling<\/a>. <strong>Indeed, the crisis is caused by systemic barriers and constraints that exist throughout the value chain<\/strong> plastics.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Cost increases, delays and PCR supply disruptions the biggest threats to packaging manufacturers<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The dire situation of the European plastics recycling industry and the bottlenecks in plastics value chains mean that packaging manufacturers may be facing entirely new challenges. Increasingly <strong>limited availability of raw material will result in higher prices and thus higher operating costs<\/strong>, that may surprise entrepreneurs.<\/p>\n<p>Constant fluctuations in PCR prices and availability will also be a disincentive for suppliers to sign long-term contracts that include guarantees to maintain a stable price level and ensure uninterrupted supply. Contractual risk on the part of suppliers will increase as the crisis in the PCR market deepens, therefore <strong>The turn of the year 2025\/2026 may be the last moment to negotiate and conclude a favourable agreement for packaging producers.<\/strong> In this case, time is playing against the representatives of the packaging industry, forcing them to act according to the first-come, first-served principle. The lack of long-term contracts for the supply of post-consumer plastic recyclates poses a real risk of a shortage of raw material, which for many operators will mean that production will have to be halted and may cast a shadow over cooperation with customers.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>There is little and there will be even less - PPWR will intensify competition in the race for recyclate<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The entire packaging industry is already feeling the breath of the PPWR regulation and the obligation it imposes to use recyclates for packaging. Let us recall that <strong>from 2030, the minimum PCR content will be<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>30%<\/strong> for PET bottles,<\/li>\n<li><strong>35%<\/strong> for packaging not intended for food contact,<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The sanction for failing to meet these levels will be that packaging cannot be put on the market. Producers of packaging and other plastic products will therefore be forced to compete for access to recyclate, and the stakes in this race will be to be or not to be for their products.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Reasons for the post-consumer recyclate supply gap<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Prepared on behalf of Interzero, the study report identifies 6 key reasons for the market shortage of recyclate located at different stages of the plastics value chain.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>No eco-design of packaging<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Inadequate packaging design makes it difficult, if not impossible, to recycle and achieve high-quality PCR.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Poor sorting quality<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Despite the mandatory separate collection of plastic waste, the quality of this collection in the EU is still insufficient. While some packaging is incorrectly sorted, other packaging cannot be clearly attributed to any of the streams due to, for example, a lack of eco-design.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Limited capacity of recycling facilities<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>At a time when globally PCR production volumes are increasing year on year, we are seeing stagnation in Europe's backyard, rooted in the 2022 <a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\">[i]<\/a>. The European plastics recycling industry as a whole has long been struggling with the recession, which has resulted, among other things, in production stoppages at more facilities. Meanwhile, the size of the projected PCR supply gap corresponds to the volumes produced by ten large recycling plants. In the current situation, however, their emergence is highly doubtful.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Price competition with primary materials<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Virgin plastics, especially imported plastics, are sometimes cheaper than PCR. The minimum levels of recyclate use set by the PPWR will force producers to use PCR, but will not eliminate the price differential between imported and EU-produced PCR.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Cross-sector competition<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It is not only packaging companies that compete for access to recyclate, but also the entire automotive sector, electronics manufacturers and building materials producers. Thus, the amount of raw material \u201eaccruing\u201d to packaging manufacturers is steadily decreasing.<\/p>\n<p>Read also: <a href=\"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/en\/blog\/nadchodzi-rop-na-pojazdy-pe-przyjal-propozycje-rozporzadzenia-elv\/\">ROP for vehicles will make the use of recyclates mandatory in new cars<\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Stringent quality standards for raw material for contact with sensitive products<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Improper selective collection and contamination of post-consumer waste make it difficult to obtain high-quality PCR.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>How to act in an era of recyclate shortage? Strategies for packaging companies<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Analysing the above data, experts from Interzero and BP Consultants have created a <strong>Roadmap 2030 - a set of steps that every company using PCR should take<\/strong>, to guard against the effects of the plastics crisis. Roadmap<strong> is an integral part of the report <\/strong><strong><em>CIRCULAR PACKAGING 2030<\/em><\/strong><em>: Strategies for action in an era of shortage of recyclate<\/em>, which additionally presents complete data, forecasts and recommendations that can underpin the organisation's strategy for the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>Want to understand how the PCR shortfall will affect your company's operations and see what you should change in your organisation later this year? <a href=\"https:\/\/interzero.pl\/en\/o-firmie\/zrownowazony-rozwoj\/ppwr-pcr\/\">Download the report <em>CIRCULAR PACKAGING 2030: Strategies for action in an era of shortage of recyclate<\/em><\/a> and protect your business from the effects of the PCR crisis.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[i]<\/a> <em>Plastics the Fast Facts 2025. Global and European plastics production and economic indicators<\/em>, https:\/\/plasticseurope.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/PE_TheFacts_25_digital-1pager-scrollable.pdf<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><script id=\"script-row-unique-1\" data-row=\"script-row-unique-1\" type=\"text\/javascript\" class=\"vc_controls\">UNCODE.initRow(document.getElementById(\"row-unique-1\"));<\/script><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The shortage of post-consumer plastic recyclate is no longer a forecast, but is becoming a real threat to the European packaging market. The latest Interzero report shows that by 2030, the gap between demand and supply of PCR will exceed 1 million tonnes - even if EU recycling targets are fully met. The effects of this shortfall are already being felt by producers today: recyclate prices are rising, delivery times are lengthening and access to high-quality PCR is becoming increasingly limited.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":22131,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[118],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22130","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter"],"acf":[],"cp_meta_data":{"_edit_lock":["1770815906:28"],"_edit_last":["28"],"_thumbnail_id":["22131"],"_uncode_specific_main_width":["a:2:{i:0;s:4:\"1200\";i:1;s:2:\"px\";}"],"_uncode_specific_menu_remove":["off"],"_uncode_specific_menu_opaque":["off"],"_uncode_specific_menu_no_shadow":["off"],"_uncode_blocks_list":["20079"],"_uncode_header_full_width":["on"],"_uncode_header_height":["a:2:{i:0;s:2:\"50\";i:1;s:1:\"%\";}"],"_uncode_header_title":["on"],"_uncode_header_title_custom":["off"],"_uncode_header_style":["dark"],"_uncode_header_content_width":["off"],"_uncode_header_custom_width":["100"],"_uncode_header_align":["left"],"_uncode_header_position":["header-center header-middle"],"_uncode_header_title_size":["h1"],"_uncode_header_title_italic":["off"],"_uncode_header_featured":["on"],"_uncode_header_background":["a:6:{s:16:\"background-color\";s:10:\"color-wayh\";s:17:\"background-repeat\";s:0:\"\";s:21:\"background-attachment\";s:0:\"\";s:19:\"background-position\";s:0:\"\";s:15:\"background-size\";s:0:\"\";s:16:\"background-image\";s:0:\"\";}"],"_uncode_header_parallax":["off"],"_uncode_header_overlay_color_alpha":["100"],"_uncode_header_scroll_opacity":["off"],"_uncode_header_scrolldown":["off"],"_uncode_specific_layout_width_custom":["a:2:{i:0;s:0:\"\";i:1;s:2:\"px\";}"],"_uncode_specific_tags_align":["left"],"_uncode_sidebar_position":["sidebar_right"],"_uncode_sidebar_size":["4"],"_uncode_sidebar_sticky":["off"],"_uncode_sidebar_fill":["off"],"_uncode_specific_copy_hide":["off"],"_uncode_specific_footer_uparrow_hide":["off"],"_uncode_fullpage_type":["curtain"],"_uncode_fullpage_opacity":["off"],"_uncode_scroll_dots":["off"],"_uncode_empty_dots":["off"],"_uncode_scroll_history":["off"],"_uncode_scroll_safe_padding":["on"],"_uncode_scroll_additional_padding":["0"],"_uncode_fullpage_mobile":["off"],"_uncode_scroll_snap":["off"],"_uncode_secondary_thumbnail_id":["0"],"_wpb_vc_js_status":["true"],"_wpb_vc_editor_type":["backend"],"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":["118"],"_yoast_wpseo_content_score":["60"],"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":["5"],"_yoast_wpseo_title":["Kryzys na rynku PCR | Deficyt recyklatu przekroczy 1 mln ton"],"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":["Raport Interzero pokazuje skal\u0119 i skutki niedoboru recyklatu na rynku. Czy producenci opakowa\u0144 do\u015bwiadcz\u0105 wzrostu koszt\u00f3w i problem\u00f3w z dostawami?"],"_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-title":["Kryzys na rynku PCR | Deficyt recyklatu przekroczy 1 mln ton"],"_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-description":["Raport Interzero pokazuje skal\u0119 i skutki niedoboru recyklatu na rynku. Czy producenci opakowa\u0144 do\u015bwiadcz\u0105 wzrostu koszt\u00f3w i problem\u00f3w z dostawami?"],"_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":["https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-1024x691.jpg"],"_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":["22131"],"_yoast_wpseo_twitter-title":["Kryzys na rynku PCR | Deficyt recyklatu przekroczy 1 mln ton"],"_yoast_wpseo_twitter-description":["Raport Interzero pokazuje skal\u0119 i skutki niedoboru recyklatu na rynku. Czy producenci opakowa\u0144 do\u015bwiadcz\u0105 wzrostu koszt\u00f3w i problem\u00f3w z dostawami?"],"_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":["https:\/\/interzero.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/02\/Nadchodzi-kryzys-na-rynku-PCR.-Najnowszy-raport-ujawnia-ile-recyklatu-zabraknie-do-2030-roku-1024x691.jpg"],"_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":["22131"],"_cmplz_scanned_post":["1"]},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Kryzys na rynku PCR | Deficyt recyklatu przekroczy 1 mln ton<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Raport Interzero pokazuje skal\u0119 i skutki niedoboru recyklatu na rynku. 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